What Indices Track Art Market Performance, and Their Limitations
A guide to the major art market indices (Mei Moses, Artprice, Artnet, Knight Frank, Masterworks), how each is built, and where every one of them falls short.
A guide to the major art market indices (Mei Moses, Artprice, Artnet, Knight Frank, Masterworks), how each is built, and where every one of them falls short.
Repeat-sales indices track the same work across sales to isolate price change. They are the cleanest art index we have, and they have real, knowable limits.
Hedonic regression prices a painting as a bundle of traits, size, medium, signature, provenance, and reads each one's effect on value. Here is how it works.
How auction records become an investable dataset: aggregation across 6,000+ houses, currency normalization, artist entity resolution, and human review.
Owners resell winners and hold losers, so published art returns skew high. Correcting for it cut measured art returns from 8.7% to 6.3% a year in one study.
Machine learning prices art well where data is deep and traits are observable, and poorly where taste, scarcity, and the masterpiece premium take over. Here is the line.
Masterworks focuses on investment grade, blue chip art rather than speculative ultra contemporary work. Here is the data behind that distinction and how we choose what to buy.
Appraisal-based art valuations lag the real market and smooth out volatility, the same way private real estate and PE marks do. Here is why that matters for measuring risk.